The Road to Victory

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION *2012 BARACK OBAMA MITT ROMNEY THE ROAD то VICTORY 332 206 270 electoral votes to win PRE-ELECTION POLLS POLITICAL PARTY DEMOGRAPHICS PRE-ELECTION FORCAST Poll Date Spread Male 313.0 225.0 Sex +14.0 Electoral Vote -14.0 11/05/12 +0.7 Female 18 - 29 10/31/12 +.01 30 - 44 Age 330 45 - 64 10/26/12 +0.9 65+ 270 10/18/12 +0.1 White 210 Black 10/13/12 +1.3 July Sept Nov Race Hispanic 10/03/12 +3.1 Asian 90.9% 9.1% Other +13.5 Chance of Winning -13.5 9/12/12 +3.5 No Diploma HS Diploma Some College 9/05/12 Tie Education 75% 8/11/12 +4.7 College Diploma 50% Post Graduate 25% 7/26/12 +1.1 >50K July Sept Nov 6/28/12 +3.8 Income 50K - 99.9K 100K+ 5/07/12 +0.2 Married M 50.8% 48.3% Sex by Popular Vote +0.4 -0.4 4/27/12 +3.9 Married F Marital Non Married M 3/11/12 +2.3 Status Non Married F 54 2/17/12 +6.1 1/16/12 +1.2 46 July Sept Nov All information as of Oct 30, 2012 OVERALL STATE VICTORIES 26 24 BATTLEGROUND STATE VICTORIES 50.1% 50.8% 50.0% 51.2% 46.5% 52.3% 48.2% 47.8% 49.1% 45.7% Ohio Virginia Florida Colorado Navada 52.1% 52.2% 52.8% 52.9% 46.5% 46.1% 43.0% 50.6% 46.5% 48.4% lowa New Hampshire Wisconson New Mexico North Carolina 100% total. Other parties not included. L.LI.