Election 2012: House and Senate Races to Watch

Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) LIOH-161 MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) NE (Nelson) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) NE (Nelson) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) NE (Nelson) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) NE (Nelson) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) NE (Nelson) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The Pot Verac Stew.com Veracity Stew's 2012 Election Coverage HOUSE and SENATE RACES to WATCH DEMOCRATIC HOUSE SEATS MOST LIKELY DEM DEM ADVANTAGE TIGHT RACE Jim Costa (CA-16) Lois Capps (CA-24) NEW SEAT (CA-47) NEW SEAT (AZ-9) John Garamendi (CA3 Jerry McNerney (CA-9) NEW SEAT (CA-41) Robert Dold (IL-10) v Schneider (D) Schilling (IL-17) v Cheri Bustos (D) VACANT (GIffords) (AZ-2) NEW SEAT (FL-9) NEW SEAT (FL-22) OPEN (Costello) (IL-12) MERGED (Boswell) (IA-3) Kathy Hochul (NY-27) Mike Mcintyre (NC-7) Mark Critz (PA-12) OPEN (Murphy) (CT-5) Joe Walsh (IL-8) v Duckworth (D) Bruce Braley (IA-1) Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Mike Michaud (ME-2) Buerkle (NY-24) v Dan Maffei (D) Louise Slaughter (NY-25) VACANT (Inslee) (WA-1) Bartlett (MD-6) v Delaney (D) John Tierney (MA-6) NEW SEAT (NV-4) David Cicilline (RI-1) Tim Bishop (NY-1) Bill Owens (NY-21) Jim Matheson (UT-4) OPEN (Heinrich) (NM-1) Kurt Schrader (OR-5) Ben Chandler (KY-6) Nick Rahall (WV-3) Listed in Blue are currently held Democratic seats that Republicans are likely to pick up. REPUBLICAN HOUSE SEATS Most LIKELY REPUBLICAN Rick CrawfordTAR-1) OPEN (Ro (AR4 Mary Bono Mack (CA-36) Steve Southerland (FL-21 Dan Webster O-101 CW. B Youn (PL1) Vern Buchanan (FL-16 Larry Bucshen (IN-) stin Amash MI-3) Tim Walberg MI-7) John Kline (MN-) OPEN Rehberg MT-AL) e Tenry N 21 REPUB ADVANTAGE Jeff Denham (CA-101 NEW SEAT (CA-21 Scott Tipten (CO-3) Mike Coffman (C0-4) David Rivera (FL-26) John Barrow (GA-12) OPEN Dohnson) -11) OPEN (Donnelly) (IN-2) Steve King (A-4) Dan tenishek (MI-1) Frark Guirta (NH-1) Jon Runyan (N-3) Michael Grimm (NY-11) Larry Ksell (NC4) TIGHT RACE NEW SEAT AZ-1) Dan Lurgren (CA ) OPEN (Gallegy (CA-2E Gary Miler (CA-31) Brian Bbray ((CA-52) Allen West (FL-18) Judy Biggert (IL-11) Chip Cravaack (MN-) Jee Heck W30 Charlie Bass (NH 2) Nan Hayworth (NY-) Chris Gibson (NY-19) MERGED (Renacil IOH-16) Francisco Canseco (TX-23) Lee t Garrett (N-5) hard Hanna (NY-22) Tom Reed (NY-23) OPEN (Shuler) (NC-11) OPEN (Miler) (NC-13) OPEN (Berg NO AL Scott Richard B Johnson (O-6) OPEN (Boren) (OK-2) Mike Fitrpatrick (PA-8) Sean Duffy (Wi-) Reid Rbble (W-4) IND Bob Gibbs (OH) im Gerlach (PA-6) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Tim Murphy (PA-18] NEW SEAT (SC-77 OPEN (Pau (TX-14) Scott irel VA DEMOCRATIC SENATE SEATS SAFE DEM DEM ADVANTAGE CT (Lieberman) TIGHT RACE McCaskill (MO) Tester (MT) TOUGH FIGHT REPUB ADVANTAGE Feinstein (CA) Nelson (FL) Stabenow (MI) NE (Nelson) Carper (DE) Cardin (MD) Klobuchar (MN) Casey (PA) Sherrod Brown (OH) Cantwell (WA) Manchin (WV) NM (Bingaman) ND (Conrad) VA (Webb Menender (NI) HI (Akaka)a ) Gilbrand (NY) WI (Kohlj Whitehouse (RI) Sanders (VT) 1. Retiring: Lieberman (I) Running: Chris Murphy (D) Retiring: Akaka (Dk Running: Demoratie primary Hirono & Case 3. Retiring: Bingaman (D). Running so elear candidate on eiher side 4. 2. Retiring: Conrad (D): Running: Heidi lleitkamp (D) against strong R challenger. 5. Retiring: Webb (D) Running Tim Kane (D) * Retiring: Kohl (D); Running Tammy Baldwin (D) 1. Retiring: Nelson (D): Running Bob Kemey. Deep Red state. REPUBLICAN SENATE SEATS SAFE REPUB wicker (MS) Corker (TN REPUB ADVANTAGE TOUGH FIGHT A2 KY TIGHT RACE ME nowe Brown (MA DEM ADVANTAGE IN Lugar TX (Hutchison Hanch (UT) Heller (N Barrasso (WY) Rating r candidane fDerR Hewee, ing Hispanie population eld gie Dem va . Deleated by TP: Lagar Ranning Dunelly (D Denelly i vaating lou t. Stng union backing Retired Sae R Running King . Unu i King will enea DerR Tight Soun Brown; liabeh Wanen Tight Heller (R Shelley Berkley (D Pble Dem i This chart will be updated as dynamics change. We Serve It, Even When It's Hard to Swallow veracitystew.com Daily Stir The