Ultimate Guide to Picks and Predictions

TOP PICKS PICKS AND PREDICTIONS FOR SPORTS BETTING 1 HAVE A PLAN FOR BETTING RESPONSIBLY 2 3 4 4% Set aside a budget or "bankroll". The key to successful sports betting is money management!" Your average bet should be 3-4% and never more than 7% Bet sober and clear minded. a Your goal is to win. But never bet more than you can afford to lose. Don't tilt or chase after a bad loss; emotion is the enemy of profit. Have realistic expectations and set short-term and long-term goals for profit. a Keep track of weekly and monthly results. DA goal of 4 percent monthly growth would increase your bankroll by over 60 percent in just 12 months! C Give yourself small rewards for reaching short- and long-term goals. Don't try to compare your bankroll or betting style with others. The best system you can use is the one that works for YOU. 169 UNDERSTANDING THE ODDS 2 Every sportsbook offers different odds. The standard "juice" of 10% represents the house odds: 10% $110 BET Negative odds (-) represent the FAVORITE -110 (10% Juice) = for every $110.00 you bet, if you win you get $100.00. $100 WINS 4 $100 BET Positive odds 9000000 represent the UNDERDOĞ +110 = for every $100.00 you bet, if you win you get $110.00 $110 WINS O-7 +6 +7 POINT THE FAVORITE needs to THE UNDERDOG can win the game outright or lose by less than the posted spread. A +7 underdog can win the game or lose by six points or fewer to "cover the spread". SPREAD S beat its opponent by more than the posted spread. So a -7 favorite needs to win by eight or more points to "cover the spread". 6 TOTALS a Betting on the total means you are betting on the combined amount of points/runs/goals in a given game by both teams. O Betting 'Over" a total means you are wagering that more combined points/runs/goals will be scored in the game. C Betting 'Under' a total means you are wagering that fewer combined points/runs/goals will be scored in the game. The odds are not a prediction. Odds are a reflection of public perception and are an attempt by sportsbooks to balance the betting on both teams. 3 COMMON TYPES OF WAGERS MONEYLINE BETS TOTALS BETS Picking the team to win the game outright. Betting on scoring to go 'Over' or 'Under' Value is based on the odds/juice. SPREAD BETS TEASERS Group of bets combined into one wager. Picking the team to win according to the spread. Spread or total odds are moved (or "teased") in the bettors favor. Most common form of wager. Lower payout odds for the benefit of shifting odds. PARLAYS Generally a low-value long-term way to bet. PLEASERS Combining multiple bets into one wager. Much higher payout odds but much lower probability of success. Group of bets combined into one wager. Generally a low-value way to bet and generally should be avoided. Spread or total odds are moved (or "teased") against the bettor. Many different types of parlays including Progressive and Multichance. Higher payouts for taking worse odds. Generally a low-value long-term way to bet. TYPES OF HANDICAPPING FUNDAMENTAL HANDICAPPING SITUATIONAL HANDICAPPING Letdown Games: A game played after one of the teams has expelled a lot of emotional energy. It could be after a big upset win, a big rivalry game, a difficult defeat, or a high-profile nationally televised game. •One-on-one matchups. •Matching teams' strengths and weaknesses against one another. Example: Oakland's No. 30 pass defense is no match for Denver's No. 1 pass offense. The key is finding the most important and mathematically relevant statistics to use in each sport. Look-Ahead Games: A game played right before a more important game. Teams in Look-Ahead Situations often don't focus or perform to expectations because their attention is on something else. TECHNICAL HANDICAPPING Revenge Games: Games in which ne team has the emotional advantage of wanting to avenge a blowout loss, a comeback loss, or a particularly difficult or embarrassing defeat in the most recent meeting. Rivalry Games: Underdogs typically overperform in games against their most hated rival. • Study of statistical patterns. • Sometimes referred to as "trend betting" Examples: The Giants are 38-12 against the spread (ATSS) a home underdog. The Bears are 20-6 ATS following a loss of 14 points or more. Remember: trends are useful. But past events are never a perfect predictor of future results. SOURCES: Presented by: DOCS Sports Service ADocs http://www.docsports.com/sports-betting-101.html