Political Geography: New Hampshire

Political Geography: New Hampshire polling as of Sunday 40% 41% Romney New Hampshire 30 I Finished in top three in lowa 20 No data for white areas Mitt Romney has held a wide lead here for weeks, Gingrich -17% Paul -11% Santorum but recent polls showed the race tightening and -11% Huntsman -8% Gingrich 10 a lot of jockeying for second place. Huntsman By Ted Mellnik, Laura Stanton and Karen Yourish 1% Perry A D UNDECLARED VOTERS- On their decision about a candidate, N.H. voters say they: Those who haven't registered as a Republican or a Democrat are also eligible to participate in New Hampshire's primary. Polls of likely voters indicate that more than 4 in 10 casting their ballots Tuesday may be in this category. Like most of New Hampshire's electorate, most of these voters are concentrated in the more densely populated southeast. Berlin 19,039 undeclared in Nashua Have definitely 44% 29%-Are still trying to decide decided 27% -Are leaning toward someone Littleton Mt. Washington MCCAIN TERRAIN NOWHERE MAN NEW HAMPSHIRE New Hampshire is friendlier territory for Mitt Romney - a former governor of neighboring Massachusetts who owns a $10 million vacation home on exclusive After a disappointing finish in lowa, Rick Perry decided to skip New Hampshire and take his campaign to South Carolina. White Mountain National lakefront property in Wolfeboro, N.H. – and it would be a major upset if he lost here. In the 2008 GOP primary, former rival (and recent supporter) John McCain won most of the state, although Romney Forest CONSERVATIVE CORE In late November, as his campaign surged in the polls, Newt Gingrich won the endorse- ment of the Manchester Union Leader, a conservative newspaper based in the state's largest city. Since then, though, his campaign has foundered. He's hoping to do well enough here to gain momentum in South Carolina. carried many voters in the south. Plymouth EVERYWHERE MAN Hanover Jon Huntsman has staked his candidacy on a strong finish in New Hampshire, and while he's gained some late traction, it's not clear whether it will be enough. He's been backed by some of the region's largest newspapers, including the Boston Globe, which snubbed Romney for the second time. Lebanon Romney vacation home Laconia INDEPENDENT SOUTHEAST Franklin. Ron Paul's libertarian message is a good fit for a state whose motto is "Live Free or Die" and where many voters don't identify with either party. The Texas congressman has spent most of his time campaigning in the southeastern part of the state, home to many colleges. Claremont Newport WORKING-CLASS SOUTH Rochester o Rick Santorum has had little (16 Concord time to convert his surprisingly Dover strong finish in the lowa caucuses into a campaign organization in New Hampshire. The former senator from Portsmouth Raymond 101 Pennsylvania is going after blue-collar workers and Catholic conservatives, the Manchester . 1 2008 RESULTS Keene Romney and Paul lost to John McCain in 2008. Results shown by city and town jurisdiction. Romney Derry same coalition that helped commentator Pat Buchanan 15 an upset win in the state's MILES Milford Paul O McCain Huckabee Romney, McCain tied in 2008 1996 GOP primary. Jaffrey. Londonderry93) Salem ONashua TV ads Amount spent in New Hampshire* Huntsman Santorum Romney Paul Gingrich Perry 40 events in 24 days 158 events 86 events 75 events in 45 days 37 events 25 events Huntsman $742,120 in 72 days in 23 days in 20 days in 11 days Paul $469,920 Romney $339,830 Events since June Perry $45,750 Through Mon. Gingrich o Santorum 0 1 10 20 * By candidates and super PACS supporting them, as of Jan. 1. Sources for polls: Polls conducted by the University of New Hampshire with WMUR and the Boston Globe. Other sources: Campaign Media Analysis Group, PBS "NewsHour," Associated Press, staff reports THE WASHINGTON POST intic Ocean