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Electoral Fundamentals Favor Republicans in 2012

ELECTORAL FUNDAMENTALS FAVOR REPUBLICANS IN 2012 FAIRNESS & OPPORTUNITY THE OBAMA ECONOMY Thinking about you and your family's financial situation, Q Which of the following statements about fairness comes closer to your view? PAST wOuld you say you are better off, about the same, or worse off than you were four years ago? DK/RER STATEMENT A Better off "Fairness is making sure the wealthy pay their fair share by increasing their taxes, eliminating loopholes, & giving up special deductions." 25% 34% 60% Worse off 39% STATEMENT B 36% About the same "Fairness is making sure everyone pays their fair share, & no one gets bailouts, preferential treatment, or special favors from political cronies." PRESENT Would you say that our country currently is or is not in a recession? Which of the following statements about the role of government comes closer to your view? DK/REF - DK/REF STATEMENT A IS NOT in a recession 24% "Government policies should promote fairness by narrowing the gap between rich and poor, making the rich pay their fair share, and reducing income inequality." I iņ a recession 39% 57% 72% STATEMENT B "Government policies should promote opportunity by fostering job growth, encouraging entrepre- neurs, and allowing hardworking people to keep more of what they earn." I would like to read you a pair of statements about FIUTURE economic policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. I would like to read you several pairs of statements about government taxing and spending and have you tell me, for each pair, which one you agree with more. CONGRESSMAN A CONGRESSWOMAN B "President Obama's "President Obama's economic plan is not working and we need to try something else. Unemployment remains at record economic plan is work- ing and we need to stay the course. Unemploy- ment is going down, more jobs are being created, we've taken steps to reduce the deficit, and economic conditions are improving for most of the country." CONGRESSWOMAN A CONGRESSMAN B "We need to raise taxes on the wealthy. We must have more tax revenue if we are ever going to reduce the deficit and make the wealthy pay their fair share." "We will never tax our way out of the deficit. The way to reduce the deficit is to restrain government spending and reform our tax levels, job creation is poor, federal spending is out of control, and much of the country is still in recession." code to generate more economic growth." 40% 52% 40% 55% MORE THAN 6 OUT OF 10 INDEPENDENTS (63%) BELIEVE: • Everyone should pay their fair share • Government should promote opportunity 6/10 Independents disapprove of President Obama's handling of the economy. 42% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 54% SAY WE WILL NEVER TAX OUR WAY OUT OF A DEFICIT The President has a substantial hill to climb for reelection Voters' perspective on fairness and opportunity leans right rather than left. A message that directly engages the left on both fairness and opportunity will be very productive for center-right candidates and policies. as an overwhelming majority of voters think we are still in a recession, say their family is no better off than four years ago, and think the President's economic plan is not working. President Obama cannot win a referendum on his leadership and his record. DOMESTIC ENERGY MEDICARE REFORM I would like to read you a pair of statements about energy policy and have you tell me which one you agree with more. I would like to read you a pair e government taxing and spending and have you tell me which one you agree with more. statements about CONGRESSMAN A CONGRESSWOMAN B CONGRESSMAN A CONGRESSMAN B "President Obama's energy policies have been good for the coun- try. He has increased domestic oil production, while steering the coun- try toward greater reliance on renewable sources of energy like solar and wind to reduce our dependence on foreign oil." "President Obama's energy policies have been bad for the coun- try. They have caused gasoline prices to double since he became Presi- dent, he blocked the Keystone pipeline, and he supported new regu- lations that make it more difficult and expensive to produce domestic energy like oil and coal." "the Medicare trustees have declared that Medi- care will go broke if we do nothing because of all the retiring baby boomers. By giving people age 55 and under the choice of join- ing traditional Medicare or using Medicare dollars to buy a private health insur- ance plan, we can pre- serve and protect this important program for future generations." "We should not balance the budget on the backs of our seniors. We need to cut back federal spending, but Medicare should be off limits. Republican plans to privatize Medicare a Trojan Horse that will end Medicare as we know it." are a 44% 49% 40% 48% 55% of Independents agree that the President's energy policies have been bad for the country. 48% A plurality of Independents believe Medicare must be reformed. DEMOCRATS ARE SPLIT DOWN THE MIDDLE: 39% STRONGLY AGREE • 44% pro-reform • 44% preferring Medicare be off limits A wide majority of Independents believe President Obama's energy politics have been bad for our country. The fact that much of the President's early reelection messaging has centered on energy is a tacit acknowledgement of the potency of this issue in 2012. Reforming entitlements should be justified by the need to protect and preserve important programs, not by the need to balance the budget or promote fiscal responsibility. National Survey of Registered Voters, April 30 - May 3, 2012, N=1000, Margin of Error = +/-3.1% RESURGENT REPUBLIC www.resurgentrepublic.com

Electoral Fundamentals Favor Republicans in 2012

shared by ResurgentRepublic on May 10
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Six months before election day, electoral fundamentals favor Republicans, according to a Resurgent Republic national survey. The poll found that voters' top priority remains the economy, and they over...

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