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GHG emissions: Baseline, 2010-2050
shared by W.E.R.I on Jul 14, 2013 in
Environment
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---- Future emission projections ----
This section presents the key findings of the Environmental Outlook Baseline scenario, which looks
forward to 2050 and is based on business as usual in terms of ...
policies and on the socio-economic
projections described in Chapter 2 (see Annex 3.A1 for more detail on the assumptions underlying the
Baseline). Any projection of future emissions is subject to fundamentally uncertain factors, such as
demographic growth, productivity gains, fossil fuels prices and energy efficiency gains. The scenario
suggests that GHG emissions will continue to grow to 2050. Despite sizeable energy-efficiency gains,
energy and industry-related emissions are projected to more than double to 2050 compared to 1990 levels.
Meanwhile, net emissions from land-use change are projected to decrease rapidly (Box 3.2). Emissions
from BRIICS countries are projected to account for most of the increase (Figure 3.5). This is driven by
growth in population and GDP per capita, leading to growing per-capita GHG emissions.
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Category: Environment