Search for growth: Global scenarios 2013
The Economist Intelligence Unit Search for growth: Global scenarios 2013 730 institutional investors from around the world judge the likelihood and impact on their portfolios of a series of scenarios. Below is a sampling of some of the most interesting ones. US manufacturing is revived by cheaper input costs (namely energy and labour). Fractious coalition government's return in Italy causes resurgence of instability in euro zone. China's new government launches major reform of State Owned Enterprises (SOES) opening up investment opportunities. 10% think this scenario will have a positive impact. 68% think this 54% think this scenario will have a scenario will have a positive impact. positive impact. 26% think this scenario will have no impact. 50% 35% think this scenario will have no impact. 35% 40% think this scenario will have no impact. 57% think this scenario is think this scenario is very or quite likely. think this scenario is 55% think this scenario will have a ive impact. 6% think this scenario will have a negative impact. 7% think this very or quite likely. scenario will have a gative impact. very or quite likely. Mining strikes in South Africa deepen, reducing output of several commodities. The Brazilian economy buckles under unsustainable household debt. An attack on Iran leads to an oil price shock. 12% think this 9% think this scenario will have a positive impact. 12% think this scenario will have a positive impact. scenario will have a positive impact. 49% think this scenario will have no impact. 52% think this scenario will have no impact. 27% think this 25% 38% 31% scenario will have no impact. think this scenario is very or quite likely. think this scenario is think this scenario is 36% think this 61% think this 42% think this scenario will have a negative impact. scenario will have a negative impact. scenario will have a negative impact. very or quite likely. very or quite likely. Results from the Economist Intelligence Unit's Search for growth 2013 report. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013. BNY MELLON Sponsored by
Search for growth: Global scenarios 2013
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