Car Scrapping: UK Statistics and Future Trends

CAR SCRAPPING UK STATISTICS AND FUTURE TRENDS 3360 OVL Statistic Overview Number of cars scrapped annually In 2006, the recycling industry was coming to terms with the requirement to issue COD's and therefore the number issued were significantly lower than expected. The situation has improved in subsequent years but still fall short of the expected number of vehicles scrapped. 995,496 1,138,496 1.210.294 The reported numbers peaked in 2008/09 and this is due to the UK Scrappage scheme which was introduced by the then Labour Government as a measure to stimulate activity in the economy (which was in recession) by subsidising sales of new cars. 1,329,517 1,157,438 In 2010, COD numbers fell back and reflected a quiet period after the scrappage scheme which it was felt had the effect of scrapping cars early, leaving future years bereft of cars to scrap. 1.220,873 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 UK Car Recycling performance (%) 81 81.8 82.5 82.1 83 83.4 88.1 The chart right shows the level of recycling achieved in the UK from 2006 - 2012 as accepted by the Commission. The UK reports a 1% higher figure in its own market based on an amount of residual fuel that is recovered from scrap cars but not included in the new car weight. However the rationale for claiming this additional 1% was not accepted by the Commission and will no longer be included in the calculation methodology from 2012. 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 I 2012 Estimating Car Scrapping Forecasting how many cars are scrapped in a year Predicting Scrapped Volumes Data suggests that the average age of an End of Life Vehicle is 13 years. The End of Life Vehicle Directive introduced a Certificate of Destruction (COD) that is used as a way to fulfil two basic requirements. It stands to reason that some cars will be younger when scrapped, perhaps due to crash damage, and some will be more than 13 years old when scrapped. Firstly it officially signals that the vehicle against which it was issued had been scrapped, closing that vehicles' record with the vehicle licensing authority and ending any association between the last owner and the vehicle. However if we use the 13 year average age as an indicator, it can gíve a rough estimate of the number of cars we will likely see scrapped in a given year, based on the number of cars that were sold 13 years ago. Secondly it acts as a trigger point for recycling target calculation, i.e. counting the number of COD's issued gives the number of scrapped cars that need to be recycled to 85%. For example, in 2000, 2,221,647 new cars were sold, if they last the average 13 years, then they will be scrapped in 2013. Infographic by... Sources: http://www.car-recycling.org.uk/predicting-scrap-car-volumes-method-1.html http://www.car-recycling.org.uk/predicting-scrap-car-volumes-method-2.html http://www.car-recycling.org.uk/how-many-cars-scrapped-yearly.html http://www.car-recycling.org.uk/uk-recycling-performance.html VKSalvage