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March Madness: A Bracket Breakdown From Round to Round

MARCH MADNESS A fizetet Breakdon fror Roed to Roued 2012 R NCAA FINAL SUR NCAA NEW ORLEANS DIVISIONI RAL CHAMPION *Unless otherwise stated, all stats below span from 1985 (the year the tournament expanded to 64 teams) to present. Top D ogs #1 Seeds There have been two Final Fours that didn't feature a #1 seed: 2006 and 2011 2008 was the only time that all four top seeds survived to meet in the Final Four. Three #1 seeds have made the Final Four in the same year three times: 1993, 1997, and 1999. The championship game has featured two #1 seeds only five times. Most No. 1 seeds in tournament history: North Carolina (13), Duke (12), Kansas (10), Kentucky (10) 2004 marked the first year the tournament ranked a #1 overall. Only Florida won (2007) as a #1 overall. The tournament teams are comprised of champions from 31 Division I conferences (which receive automatic bids), and 37 teams which are awarded at-large berths by the NCAA selection Based on a change introduced in 2011, the first round is technically called the FINAL FOUR "First Four" and is played between the lowest four qualifying teams and the lowest four automatic bid teams. This narrows the field from 68 to 64. "Most refer to the round of 64 as the first round. committee. (68 First Ro und In the past 10 years there have been an average of 8 first round upsets (according to seed). both had ten first round upsets. 2011 had seven. 2009 and The previous record for most first round upsets was 13 in 2001 and the fewest was three in 2000. Only four times since 1985 have all of the top four seeds in each region survived the round of 64. [The last time being in 2007. ] 16 of the 26 champions since 1985 have been #1 seeds. The last time a #16 seed "only" lost by less than double-digits was 1997. Higher seed leads 108 -0 [Win rate = 100%] Only once has a #16 seed taken a #1 to OT. Murray St. lost to Michigane St. (1990) Only one #8 seed has won the National Championship: Villanova Wildcats (1985). Butler lost as an 8 seed in 2011. Lower seed leads 57 -51 [Win rate = 52.78% in the first round. Faced with the challenge of meeting #1 in the second round, the # 8/9 seed has gone on to win the next round 13 times since 1985 (12.03%) The #9 seed is the only seed with a winning record For the first time ever, two #5's met in the Final Four in 2010: Michigan St. & Butler. Higher seed leads 72-36 [Win rate = 66.67%6 A #5 seed has never won a National Championship. Nearly every year a #12 seed advances. 1988, 2000, and 2007 are the only exceptions. A #12 has never made it beyond the Elite Eight. Higher seed leads 85- 23 Only one #4 seed has won a National Title: Arizona (1997) [Win rate = 78.70%] Four #13 seeds have gone on to win their second round game as well: Richmond (1988), Valparaiso (1998), Oklahoma (1999), Bradley (2006). 64 Higher seed leads 92 - 16 A#3 seed has won a National Championship three times. The deepest a 14 seed has made it is the Sweet 16. This happened twice: Cleveland State (1986), Chattanooga (1997). [Win rate = 85.19% SEED 14 The 5/12 and 6/11 match-ups have the exact same records. The only #6 Higher seed leads 72-36 to win a title in the 64-team format was Kansas (1988). The #11 seed is the lowest to make the Final Four. This happened twice: LSU (1986) and George Mason (2006). [Win rate = 66.67% SEED A #7 seed has never won a National Championship. Higher seed leads 65 - 43 [Win rate = 60.19% SEEDO Davidson (2008), and Gonzaga(1999) advanced to the Elite Eight. The furthest a #10 seed has gone in the tournament. SEED SEED The #2 seeds have not lost in the first round for a decade. Four #2 seeds have gone on to win the tournament. Higher seed leads 104 - 4 [Win rate = 96.30% Only three #15 seeds have ever upset a #2: Richmond (1991), Santa Clara (1993), Coppin State (1997), Hampton (2001) Richmond is the only team to win games as a #15, #14, #13, and #12 Second Ro und The underdog win rate in the second round is 5% higher than in the tournament as a whole. # 2 seeds have faired better against #7 seeded opponents and worse against #10 seeds. Teams ranked #10, #11 and #12 advance from this round to the Sweet 16 nearly 50% of the time. Only 9% of #13 seeds (or lower) have ever advanced past this round. In this round, fourteen #11 seeds have won; uneteen #12's, four #13'sand two #14's have as well. A #15 seed has never won a seeond-round game. Śweet 16 16 87% of #1 seeds advance into the Sweet 16. A Only once have two #1 seeds failed to make it in the same tournament. Two #14 seeds have made it this far: Cleveland State (1986) - Chattanooga (1997). No team seeded lower than #12 has ever made it past this round. O Statistically the higher seeded teams still win the majority of the games in this round but NOT so henceforth where there is no statistical difference. A double-digit seed has advanced this far in 25 of the last 27 vears. 2009 was the first time all of the #1's, #2's, and #3's advanced to the Sweet 16. Top 4 seeds advancing No. 1 Seeds: 35 of 40 (88%) to Sweet Sixteen in past No. 2 Seeds: 26 of 40 (65%) decade. Significant drop No. 3 Seeds: 25 of 40 (63%) No. 4 Seeds: 14 of 40 (35%) More #12 seeds (19) have made it to the Sweet Sixteen than #7's (18). #10 seeds have made it 20 times while 8's and 9's combine for 14. off for #4 seeds. Elite A team seeded 6th or lower has made it to this round 22 times since 1985. Of the nineteen #1 eeds to make Sweet 16, Missouri in 2002 was able to advance to the Elite 8. Only 3 of 108 Final Four teams have been seeded lower than #8 - Most recently VCU (2011 There have been five #11 seeds to make it this far. Three of them advanced to the Final Four. Won: LSU ( ), George Mason (2006), Virginia Commonwealth (2011). : Loyola Marymount ( 0), Temple (2001). Fina l Four Ten teams seeded lower than #6 have reached the Final Four. In the past 23 years, only twelve teams seeded lower than #4 have made the Final Four. Four of those twelve were in the last two tournaments: [2010 - Butler (5) and Michigan St. (5)] [2011 - Butler (8) and VCU (11)] NCAA 2011 marked the first time in tournament history that neither a #1 or #2 made the Final Four. At least two teams from the same conference have made the Final Four in 18 of the past 26 vears. National Title Game The largest margin of victory in a championship game was 30 points: UNLV beat Duke 103-73 (1990) There have been three OT games since 1985 - Michigan defeated Seton Hall 80:79 - (1989, Arizona defeated Kentucky 84:79 - (1997) - Kansas defeated Memphis Most Championships (since 1939): CLA (11), Kentucky (7), Indiana (5), North Carolina (5), Duke (4), UConn (3), Kansas (3), Seven teams with (2), twenty-one teams with (1). 75:68 - (2008 AD TO THE FINALF SOURCES http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Basketball_Championship http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=tcmen%5C11brackettrends http://www.databasesports.com/ncaab/tourney.htm?yr=2010 http://www.freeunderdog.com/march-madness-brackets.html http://www.docsports.com/curent/march-madness-seed-statistics-735.html http://www.angrybrownguy.com/archives/1823 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-roher/march-madness-for-statist_b_501709.html

March Madness: A Bracket Breakdown From Round to Round

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The NCAA Men’s Division I Basketball Championship is arguably one of the most exciting tournaments in all of sports and certainly the pinnacle of collegiate level competition. Every year around t...

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