Transcribed
Change in energy demand for space heating by region in the New Policies Scenario after accounting for climate change
Figure 3.4 Change in energy demand for space heating by region in the New Policies Scenario after accounting for climate change European Union United China States Russia Additional 2035 to 2050 4% 1 500 2035 HDD in 2005 (right axis) -8% 3 000 -12% 4 500 -16% 6 000 Note: These regions cover almost three-quarters of global energy consumption for space heating. Number of heating degree days
Change in energy demand for space heating by region in the New Policies Scenario after accounting for climate change
shared by W.E.R.I on Jul 12
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In 2010, global energy demand for heating was ten times the level for cooling, with
OECD countries accounting for around 60% of the total. In the case of energy demand for
heating, a New Policies Scen...
ario that does not take account of climate change projects
a 20% increase to 2035 and 28% by 2050. Once climate change effects are taken into
account, energy demand for space heating increases by only 11% to 2035 and 12% to
2050, compared with 2010 levels. In the OECD, energy demand for heating increases only
marginally to 2035 and then declines to 2050, ending at a similar level (385 Mtoe) to 2010.
Non-OECD countries drive almost all of the global increase, reaching around 260 Mtoe
in 2050, with most of the increase occurring by 2035. Looking at the absolute change
in energy demand before and after climate effects are taken into account, the largest
reductions are in Europe, China and the United States. The largest relative reduction in
space heating needs occurs in China (Figure 3.4). Less than 10% of global energy demand
for heating is in the form of electricity, with the rest split among fuels, mainly gas.
Note: These regions cover almost three-quarters of global energy consumption for space heating.
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