Presidential Candidates’ Effect on Economy & Gold

US POLITICS' EFFECT ON GOLD IN HISTORY Since 1945, the U.S. economy has performed better during Democratic vs Republican presidencies, based on real GDP and macroeconomic metrics. EFFECT ON GOLD PRICES Historically, the price of gold generally falls prior to a presidential election and then rises after the election. But, changes in gold prices tend to vary by president regardless of political party. $183.77 +348% $41.00 Start of term End of term Richard Nixon GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 1969- 1974, Republican $400.00 +148% $161.10 Start of term End of term Jimmy Carter GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 1977 - 1981, Democrat +0.25% $401.00 $400.00 Start of term End of term Ronald Reagan GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 1981-1989, Republican -2,5% $401.00 $391.75 Start of term End of term George H.Bush 1989-1993, Republican GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE $391.75 -29% $276.50 Start of term End of term Bill Clinton GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 1993 - 2001, Democrat +293% $1,087.50 $276.50 Start of term End of term George W. Bush GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 2001-2009, Rebubican +13% $1,226.50 $1,087.50 Start of term End of term Barack Obama GOLD PRICES PER OUNCE 2009-Present, Democrat DID YOU KNOW? AVERAGE RETURNS In the past century, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has generated higher average returns under a Democratic vs Republican president. 82.7% 44.8% Democratic president Republican president ECONOMIC INDICATORS Democrats /Republicans 9.7% 6.7% 3.9% 2.5% 2.5% 5.6% 6% Economic Stock market Private-sector Unemployment growth gain job growth rate Since 1945, the U.S. economy has performed better during Democratic vs Republican presidencies, based on real GDP and macroeconomic metrics. DURING FOUR-YEAR PRESIDENTAL CYCLES, STOCKS HAVE PERFORMED THE STRONGEST FOR PRE-ELECTION YEAR pre-election year Election year Midterm year Post- year ostelection 11.3%* 9.5% 3.4% *Average annual stock market gains IMPORTANT EVENTS IN GOLD HISTORY April 5, 1933: FINE GOLD $20.67 Executive Order 6102 – Restricted 999.9 per ounce private gold ownership Ordered everyone to turn in all their gold coins, gold bullion and gold certificates to Federal Reserve for the set price of $20.67/ounce MET WT 1000 g Franklin D. Roosevelt June 5, 1933: U.S. went off the gold standard August 15, 1971: US stopped converting dollars to gold at fixed value and ended the Bretton Woods system FINE GOLD S55.9 Completely abandoned the gold standard and created a fiat money HET WT 1000 g system in the US Richard Nixon US dollar was no longer backed by gold or any physical commodity SOURCES: https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/outsidegroups.php www.blog.providentmetals.com/facts-and-history/presiden- tial-elections-and-metals-prices.htm https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/candidate.php?id=NO0000019 http://alternativeinvestmentcoach.com/us-elections-may-impact-price-gold/ https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/candidate.php?id=NO0023864 https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/tax-reform www.history.com/this-day-in-history/fdr-takes-unit- ed-states-off-gold-standard https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/immigration-reform http://time.com/3955359/hillary-clinton-economy-2016-presiden- https://www.yahoo.com/news/hillarys-financial-armada-233033648.html tial-election/ http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-markets-perform-dur- ing-presidential-202501109.html http://useconomy.about.com/od/fiscalpolicy/p/Hillary_Economy.htm www.jec.senate.gov/public/_cache/- files/aa8a57a8-ac12-45c8-8f72-b3261c4c798a/jec-fact-sheet---the-econo my-under-democratic-vs.-republican-presidents.pdf www.cnbc.com/2016/01/13/why-markets-tend-to-fall-during-a-pre- sidential-election-year.html www.cbsnews.com/news/study-economy-grows-faster-under-democra- tic-presidents-than-republicans/ www.salon.com/2015/12/28/these_5_charts_prove_that_the_econo- my_does_better_under_democratic_presidents/ www.usnews.com/news/blogs/data-mine/2015/10/28/which-presi- dents-have-been-best-for-the-economy http://money.cnn.com/2015/10/28/investing/stock-market-demo- crats-republicans/ www.forbes.com/sites/adamhartung/2012/10/10/want-a-bet- ter-economy-history-says-vote-democrat/#4d7f8bc367al www.factcheck.org/2015/10/clinton-economy-better-under-democrats/ www.etf.com/sections/features-and-news/4187-the-commodi- www.nasdaq.com/article/how-presidential-elections-af- ty-investor-us-presidential-election-history-suggests-this-is-good-time-to -buy-gold?nopaging=1 fect-the-stock-markets-cm586601#/ixzz4BhDWY6ws http://reason.com/archives/2016/05/16/hillary-clinton-dou- bles-down-on-goldman https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/contrib.php?id=N000000198- cycle=2016&type=f&src=o www.businessinsider.com/democrat-vs-republican-stock-mar- ket-returns-2015-12 https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/contrib.php?id=NO0023864&- cycle=2016&type=f&src=o www.nasdaq.com/article/how-presidential-elections-af- fect-the-stock-markets-cm586601#ixzz4BhDWY6ws http://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id%36185252&page=1 www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/us-parties-republi- can-democrat-taxes.asp Infographic Provided By http://us-political-parties.insidegov.com/compare/1-2/Democra- tic-Party-vs-Republican-Party American Bullion, Inc. www.goldrefiners.com/blog/2016/3/12/-do-gold-pric- es-rise-more-under-democratic-or-republican-administrations www.etf.com/sections/features-and-news/4187-the-commodi- www.americanbullion.com ty-investor-us-presidential-election-history-suggests-this-is-good-time-to -buy-gold?nopaging=1