10 Years of Hurricane Predictions

10 Years of Hurricane Predictions Meteorologists are pretty smart, but a background in science doesn't make you a weather psychic! Since 1966, Paul Davis has helped families recover after hurricanes, and we're always interested to see how the forecasts match the reality. See a history of years in which the experts were spot on - and wildly off – in their hurricane predictions... 2006 2007 Predicted Hurricane e000e 5 actual 6 actual eeee0e e Actual Hurricane (including Hurricane Dean) 2005 2008 e000000ee00e 12 actual 8 actual ee 00000 (including Hurricane Katrina) 10 predicted 9 predicted (most of which devastated Haiti) 2004 9 predicted 9 predicted 2009 e000000ee 9 actual 3 actual eoe (including Hurricane Ivan) (including Hurricane Bill) 8 predicted 7 predicted 2003 2010 14 predicted 10 actual eee0000000 e00000e 7 actual 9 predicted (including Hurricane Danielle and Hurricane Earl) (including Hurricane Isabel) 7 predicted 10 predicted 2011 2002 7 actual eeeo000 e00e 4 actual (including Hurricane Irene) (including Hurricane Isabel) 84 PREDICTED, 71 ACTUAL EXPERTS PREDICTED 13 HURRICANES ABOVE THE ACTUAL OVER A JO Years HURRICANE of PREDICTIONS As the nation's leader in emergency services, restoration and reconstruction after weather disasters, Paul Davis thanks the meteorologists whose hard work helps families prepare for upcoming storms. 10 YEAR SPAN The trend here shows that meteorologists almost always predict more storms than actually occur. And that's okay, because it's better to be over prepared than caught by surprise! P PAUL DAVIS Sources nede. noaa.gov • en.wikipedia.org • foxnews.com • hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu • Stocktrek Images | Thinkstock