Mobile Broadband Connected Future

ameucas THE CONNECTED FUTURE 3 GPP MOBILE BROADBAND DYNAMICS OF MOBILE BROADBAND MARKET Lte GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH 90 USA/CANADA 49 M 80 ASIA PACIFIC 70 EUROPE 37 M 50 400% ANNUAL GROWTH | 24 M 37 M 28 M 15 M 20 20 M 11M 10 11M 650,000 1M 2 M 3M MAR 12 JUN 12 SEP 12 DEC 12 MAR 13 Lte GLOBAL NETWORK GROWTH 350 300 GLOBAL HSPA • 250 GLOBAL LTE 200 150 100 50 YE '09 YE '10 YE '12 YE '11 JUN '13 *YE : YEAR END MORE MORE NETWORKS COVERAGE SERVICES BETTER FUTURE VISION OF THE CONNECTED WORLD 6.6 BILLION MOBILE BROADBAND CONNECTIONS BY 2018 WHAT PEOPLE WILL DO WITH THEIR SMARTPHONES MESSAGING > VIDEO AUDIO STREAMING /VOICE O GAMING A DOWNLOADS /UPLOADS P2P WEB BROWSING 3.500 3,000 2,500 VIDEO HALE. 2,000 1,500 WILL ACCOUNT FOR 1,000 500 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC BY 2018 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC GROWTH BY DEVICE TYPE 2018 2018 2018 13x 40x 6х 2012 2012 2012 PCs SMARTPHONES TABLETS GLOBAL MOBILE TRAFFIC GROWTH VOICE & DATA 2010-2018 DATA Mobile PCs, tablets and mobile routers DATA VOICE Mobile phones 15,000 12,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 FIRST TIME WHAT IS AN WILL BE THE EXABYTE? in history that more than an EXABYTE OF DATA An exabyte is more than a BILLION GIGABYTES WILL TRAVEL ACROSS THE GLOBAL MOBILE NETWORK OR MONTH The equivalent of downloading THE ENTIRE STAR WARS SERIES 130 MILLION TIMES GLOBAL LTE AND HSPA SUBSCRIPTION GROWTH LTE HSPA 4.5 B 4 B 3.5 B 2.5 B 1.5 B 500 M DEC 13 DEC 14 DEC 15 DEC 16 DEC 17 DEC 18 MARKET SHARE & SUBSCRIBER FORECAST 524M 441M TD-SCDMA CDMA 8% 7% 2018 1.4B 4.3B LTE 21% HSPA 65% MOBILE BROADBAND EXPLOSION 1000X DATA CHALLENGE Over 1 Gpbs (LTE-Advanced & beyond) 5o kbps [GPRS & IRTT) 57 Mbps [HSPA. EVDOJ 2000 2010 2020 .02x 1x ~1000x TRAFFIC TRAFFIC TRAFFIC -500 million smartphones 4 billion new smartphones 10 billion new smart devices Millions of new apps Video and cloud-based services 3G Lte WHEN NORTH AMERICAN CONSUMERS GET LTE THEY USE ON AVERAGE 46 MB PER DAY OF MOBILE DATA compared to those with 3G who consume 17 MB per day THAT'S 16 8 % MORE! TYPES OF CONNECTIONS IN THE FUTURE (M2M) SENSORS, MICROPROCESSORS AND WIRELESS TECHNOLOGIES that once cost hundreds of dollars are now available for as little as the cost OF A CUP OF COFFEE IN 2017 mobile internet connections on personal devices and M2M will EXCEED THE WORLD'S POPULATION OF 7.6 BILLION ON AVERAGE, BY 2020 - every person will own - FORECASTS OF 12 BILLION UP TO 50 BILLION SEVEN -CONNECTED DEVICES BY 2020- up from 1 billion in 2010 CONNECTED DEVICES O MOBILE DISRUPTERS DEMAND VS. SPECTRUM CAPACITY IN THE U.S. 2.5 1.5 5 2018 2019 2020 2011 2012 2010 2014 2013 2015 2016 2017 NO NEW SPECTRUM FULLY INCREASED SPECTRUM PARTIALLY INCREASED SPECTRUM DEMAND WHEN DEMAND EXCEEDS CAPACITY THE SCREENS GO BLANK 80% FOR 2013 U.S. NETWORKS ARE OPERATING AT OVER 80% CAPACITY Many researchers forecast that U.S. mobile broadband demand WILL EXCEED SPECTRUM ALLOCATIONS WITHIN A FEW YEARS SPECTRUM POSITION OF 4G AMERICAS MORE SPECTRUM IS NEEDED Of WHENEVER POSSIBLE, CLEARED, AUCTIONED, AND LICENSED SPECTRUM IS PREFERRED OVER SHARED SPECTRUM 02 INTERNATIONALLY HARMONIZED SPECTRUM IS PREFERABLE 03 SPECTRUM PLANNING AND ALLOCATION IS REQUIRED 46 america 4G Americas is a wireless trade organization providing a unified voice for the successful deployment of 3GPP technologies, including HSPA and LTE, throughout the Americas. Representing leading telecommunications service providers and manufacturers, 4G Americas offers valuable white papers and information at www.4gamericas.org. LIKE WHAT YOU SEE? 4G Americas offers free reproduction of illustrations Contact [email protected] for formatting options SOURCES 4G Americas, Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Ericsson, Informa Telecoms & Media WCIS, Rysavy Research, United Nations CONNECTIONS MEGABYTES USED SPECTRUM NETWORKS MILLIONS OF SUBSCRIBERS gO MONTHLY EXABYTES 16 ->